TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Ducks, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,570 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3040…1287backed Red Wings64c99,035$63,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,652.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2929…d0d5backed Ducks36c99,000$35,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,64010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Ducks39c5,000$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.0623642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks0c4,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Ducks22c3,120$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.3832331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks35c2,298$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.331,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Red Wings61c2,054$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.0122842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings63c1,627$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.631,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Red Wings65c1,543$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.0815261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78cf…77e6backed Red Wings67c1,537$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.111050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks34c1,445$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.991,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb38…48a6backed Ducks38c1,212$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks37c1,157$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.3984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39049351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Red Wings55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4058451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Wings64c871.5$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.523761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588f…23b5backed Red Wings65c786.03$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Red Wings61c615$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8515663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks24c528.68$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings61c492$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3159…a0d9backed Red Wings64c426.24$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Ducks50c403.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks33c386$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.381,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks36c304.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Ducks37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings62c230.5$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa718…fdc4backed Red Wings64c215.89$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Red Wings64c180.69$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x086b…5891backed Ducks37c145.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aed…a933backed Ducks36c138.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d09…3dcebacked Red Wings64c138.82$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e33…233cbacked Ducks37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5808…154bbacked Ducks38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Red Wings61c123$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9760549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…3bc1backed Ducks13c117.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.782133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Ducks37c108$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9662944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83f…138ebacked Red Wings55c106.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7c…9ad0backed Ducks37c102.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Ducks37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3722246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Red Wings62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3827643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Red Wings64c98.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4425358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b03…5be3backed Red Wings64c82.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.811060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Ducks51c79.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79de…f135backed Ducks36c78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa0…fcc4backed Red Wings65c77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c1…91efbacked Red Wings64c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Red Wings63c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.758440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3055…d24dbacked Ducks36c64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aea…6617backed Red Wings64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Red Wings64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde71…070ebacked Ducks37c62.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5889…f416backed Red Wings64c57.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.811060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcb…f083backed Ducks37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Ducks37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Ducks37c52.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Ducks36c51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3616437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x892e…bb8fbacked Ducks37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdfb…47a9backed Red Wings65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb0…4e1bbacked Ducks37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2813…7e54backed Red Wings65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb7…65fbbacked Red Wings65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c00…3974backed Ducks37c49.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Ducks36c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.286465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x463c…7d78backed Ducks37c45.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Red Wings63c42.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.866246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe11e…ff89backed Ducks37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7133…25d2backed Red Wings64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2de…a3b9backed Ducks37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed Red Wings52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Red Wings55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3611365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6019…f460backed Ducks37c34.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x345c…2135backed Ducks37c33.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.532454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a46…0667backed Ducks38c31.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec5…58f5backed Red Wings64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…89febacked Ducks37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71b2…6653backed Red Wings64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21c…5803backed Red Wings64c28.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb4b…d145backed Ducks36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…b52bbacked Red Wings64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Red Wings63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8118259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef52…8a44backed Red Wings64c22.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67c6…7cc5backed Red Wings65c19.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.812548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6b…7e87backed Red Wings64c19.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…8dd1backed Red Wings64c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadab…2f80backed Red Wings64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Red Wings61c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6358346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0197…6acebacked Red Wings64c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…5fa9backed Red Wings64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.633577.1%27 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Red Wings64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6311655.2%64 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.