South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57d7ba97242dd618eb0523403fac8402404b793140542e39d79c636f7d2b3b1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,250 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 47c | 24,800$11,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,143.75 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 5,825$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.21 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 51c | 2,244$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.61 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 53c | 1,496$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,423$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 1,208$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.55 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 46c | 1,067$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.4 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 487.69$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed Yes | 53c | 469.96$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +157.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 53c | 447.77$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.32 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 52c | 338.66$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.69 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 45c | 234.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 207$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 189.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 46c | 183.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 47c | 158.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 54c | 154.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 130.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…51cabacked No | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…44dfbacked Yes | 50c | 99.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 52c | 78.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed No | 53c | 68.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 49c | 61.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 54c | 58.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked No | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…24eebacked No | 48c | 52.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 49.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 48c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 47c | 41.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 48c | 41.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…4a91backed Yes | 54c | 39.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…91b5backed Yes | 37c | 39.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…e1ebbacked Yes | 54c | 37.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…19b5backed Yes | 54c | 31.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Yes | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…28cebacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 48c | 29.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 47c | 27.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 50c | 26.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 48c | 21.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-26?this page
- Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.