South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x484e9b6c9fea36d5fee056399526e8b153b17850340e9095225c4dcb48460e51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 2,885$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.85 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 2,439$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.13 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.99 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed Yes | 19c | 1,064$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +157.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4955…764ebacked Yes | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 27c | 831$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.91 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 75c | 816$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 23c | 650$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 489.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 26c | 456.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 75c | 452$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 76c | 422$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.18 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…0e91backed Yes | 19c | 407.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 74c | 381$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 25c | 337$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 315.48$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.73 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 74c | 293.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Yes | 22c | 211$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 79c | 200.48$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 21c | 141.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 100.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…e37abacked Yes | 75c | 64.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 59c | 61.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…7e1bbacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 77c | 13.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-26?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.