Euroleague · resolved market
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a5243437a144eb36e3dc1c8d1b589bab629c965fd677421dd2154b9ab0c10a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zalgiris Kaunasof Zalgiris Kaunas, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Saski Baskonia | 46c | 1,631$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Saski Baskonia | 27c | 1,000$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.09 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 56c | 944.83$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.15 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 73c | 827.46$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.22 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 64c | 742.89$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.83 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Saski Baskonia | 26c | 481$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 129$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 61c | 106$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Saski Baskonia | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…dc7abacked Saski Baskonia | 17c | 85.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…07fabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 76c | 70.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 50c | 53.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…8e86backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Saski Baskonia | 40c | 33.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 24.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…5657backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 68c | 17.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 70c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.