TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$309,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 725 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef54…d1eebacked Blackhawks33c104,802$34,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,391.617749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Avalanche68c50,000$33,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,214.0438748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche66c31,970$21,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,863.2251452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche68c20,000$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,40042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Blackhawks18c10,600$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.0544848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa37b…cabbbacked Blackhawks0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blackhawks33c8,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18ff…e862backed Avalanche24c6,290$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f6…df1dbacked Blackhawks76c6,290$4,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,780.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Blackhawks31c4,353$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.39944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche66c3,594$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.392,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche67c3,483$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.061,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Blackhawks33c3,388$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.1210356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Blackhawks32c3,333$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5622546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked Avalanche67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Blackhawks23c2,416$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.6627143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche64c2,239$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.9770249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Avalanche68c2,205$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.615954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3950…a421backed Blackhawks33c2,001$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Avalanche67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6607546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked Avalanche66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb9…c20dbacked Blackhawks34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Blackhawks13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche66c1,931$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.541,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf795…ea82backed Avalanche66c1,725$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.511250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba74…e022backed Blackhawks40c1,500$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Avalanche67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.993850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Blackhawks34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks34c1,444$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.511,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks31c1,439$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.261,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e26…abf5backed Avalanche67c1,400$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Avalanche62c1,350$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5131681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed Blackhawks33c1,300$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Blackhawks32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks33c1,217$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.661,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Avalanche67c1,127$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.3154047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7627…46f6backed Avalanche67c1,052$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche67c1,013$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Avalanche66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34014945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Avalanche69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Avalanche67c909.49$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.1314065.7%92 W · 48 L+13.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Avalanche67c884.51$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8914848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blackhawks8c883$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.722,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Avalanche69c880$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.827150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Blackhawks16c812.65$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2829926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Blackhawks33c799.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2644052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche80c793.95$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.362,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7bf6…22a9backed Blackhawks17c793.52$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+68.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche66c781$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.541,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Avalanche67c746.79$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7918840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks33c743.1$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.831,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Blackhawks34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2383423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Avalanche68c700$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2243171%22 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked Blackhawks35c699.7$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche69c698$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.381,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Avalanche65c612.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5630152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x911e…6742backed Avalanche67c601$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.33650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7581…ea2dbacked Avalanche64c600$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21912244.3%54 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa609…a3d9backed Blackhawks33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Avalanche66c590.91$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9116447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche63c553.28$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.383,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…6937backed Blackhawks18c524.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Avalanche64c513.32$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3517858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Blackhawks18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9041340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Blackhawks31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15521750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blackhawks33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Avalanche63c499.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18526955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche61c499.97$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Avalanche67c498.65$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5548452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks35c488$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.461,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Avalanche67c480.44$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4643944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Avalanche63c477.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3119548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks37c476.19$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.192,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Avalanche68c463.24$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2412548%60 W · 65 L-15.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Avalanche66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5555446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Blackhawks34c444.12$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15141248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Blackhawks32c437.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Blackhawks39c402.14$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1577317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f43…f02abacked Avalanche66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70cf…a33bbacked Avalanche65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d8d…1df6backed Blackhawks35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f8f…1ee2backed Avalanche65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb865…892cbacked Blackhawks35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8fb…637cbacked Blackhawks35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9848…f558backed Blackhawks34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe953…5900backed Avalanche65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-43.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe387…bfd9backed Avalanche65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf140…7e9bbacked Avalanche65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc66…e16dbacked Avalanche65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf431…669cbacked Blackhawks35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefad…2a7cbacked Blackhawks35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6c…415dbacked Blackhawks35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d16…90bcbacked Blackhawks35c390$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.51850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b44…ba72backed Blackhawks34c390$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.61968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe409…4999backed Blackhawks35c390$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x684e…7426backed Blackhawks35c390$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.51764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.