NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda742216d5ebb57260b88b50f63cf90409dad6a646026cc4e921d0bf3355b016
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 53c | 76,297$40,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,176.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 49c | 44,029$21,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,559.35 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 10,550$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,953.77 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 9,117$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.19 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 47c | 7,943$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.37 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 7,430$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.03 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 5,544$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.29 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 3,956$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.45 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Over | 47c | 1,371$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.37 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,075$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.4 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 1,000$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.33 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under | 54c | 814.81$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.81 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 47c | 660.11$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.71 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 397$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 51c | 328.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Under | 54c | 322.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…90c6backed Under | 53c | 321$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Over | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…2181backed Under | 53c | 228.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…fc50backed Over | 48c | 228.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 184.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under | 50c | 103.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…d430backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6397…cd96backed Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 47c | 66.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Under | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Under | 53c | 59.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…3269backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3658…614abacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 27.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Over | 48c | 21.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. BlackhawksAvalanche won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.