Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e3f1df38eea78d3fbe8e09f7b8e8387e2c4af1a8e7fcc6413f9341bcd449197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 61c | 1,211$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.23 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 959.73$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 37c | 947.62$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.42 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 40c | 511.87$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 251.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 60c | 218$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 56c | 168.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 43c | 134$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…32e2backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…6f5dbacked Yes | 42c | 26.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 21.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…1ef6backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.