Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37bea11910936627707652bd6af486f7ea7eb5247cddc0e723de0aafbc67897c

Rebuilt 1 minute ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 12, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,572 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No	30c	9,271$2,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,523.82	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Yes	71c	5,037$3,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,557.38	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c35…20c0backed No	36c	3,195$1,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,058.72	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	12c	2,222$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,952.61	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes	72c	2,086$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	70cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes	73c	2,042$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+4.4wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No	30c	1,576$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.19	175	35.4%62 W · 113 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes	68c	1,501$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.18	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked No	35c	1,410$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910.44	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No	41c	1,393$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.21	86	31.4%27 W · 59 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc48c…b218backed Yes	72c	1,389$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes	74c	1,217$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.62	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked No	36c	1,013$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.18	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No	34c	1,000$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.5	134	19.4%26 W · 108 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Yes	68c	968.09$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.69	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No	37c	914.85$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.21	465	36.1%168 W · 297 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	28c	865$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.64	423	52%220 W · 203 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes	63c	743.45$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.95	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes	70c	714.29$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	63cpaid	-32%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Yes	63c	626.98$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	59c	500$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.33	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x209c…efc4backed Yes	66c	445.47$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No	28c	426.82$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.96	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No	28c	409.81$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.51	129	45%58 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No	5c	399.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.99	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	28c	382.9$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.13	358	48.3%173 W · 185 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b5…7d0cbacked Yes	64c	374.6$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No	28c	358.32$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.3	459	49.5%227 W · 232 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes	61c	329.96$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.27	363	29.8%108 W · 255 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes	69c	327.08$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No	10c	320.81$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.24	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x911e…90d5backed Yes	72c	316.06$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.14	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes	68c	298$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.64	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbb…6eeabacked Yes	67c	294.08$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed Yes	69c	291.83$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No	28c	287$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.58	464	53.2%247 W · 217 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	28c	287$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.58	397	49.9%198 W · 199 L	-16.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd6…e9a1backed Yes	69c	252.65$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No	37c	244.27$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.99	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	24c	243.3$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.84	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No	28c	230.12$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.52	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No	28c	223$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.53	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No	28c	215$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.75	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed No	36c	199.99$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.99	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No	27c	196.99$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.84	130	50.8%66 W · 64 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c3…c37cbacked Yes	64c	186.32$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x652b…813dbacked No	33c	175.27$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No	42c	174.75$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.35	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No	36c	167.8$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.8	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No	28c	167$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.9	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No	29c	153$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.03	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes	68c	147.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes	70c	142.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-4.4wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No	28c	142$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.32	109	44%48 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4324…d055backed Yes	76c	132$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Yes	73c	130.14$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-4.1wins	-0.32per pick	47cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Yes	67c	119.4$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No	27c	110$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.33	104	42.3%44 W · 60 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No	27c	110$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.33	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	-8.5wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No	27c	108.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.21	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19c9…2e09backed Yes	67c	107.52$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.04	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e16…e2d9backed Yes	73c	105.48$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ab…8420backed Yes	33c	105.3$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes	58c	100.57$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.33	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf340…9369backed Yes	70c	100.41$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	10c	100$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes	61c	100$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c89…36aebacked Yes	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa609…a3d9backed No	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+170.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes	66c	99.99$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.99	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30e…ad60backed Yes	62c	99.98$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes	63c	95.14$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.94	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes	71c	94.05$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	36c	82.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.22	112	59.8%67 W · 45 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes	69c	82$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.58	181	50.3%91 W · 90 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed No	33c	80.91$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.21	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No	30c	76.47$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.6	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53a8…96d2backed Yes	73c	72.81$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981f…cf4fbacked Yes	68c	65$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.2	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed No	32c	64.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.19	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28df…f940backed Yes	63c	63.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc2…d923backed No	32c	62.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4978…3378backed Yes	56c	56.95$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.83	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb9b…d718backed Yes	74c	54.24$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.14	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes	73c	50.68$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	15	60%9 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…6654backed Yes	71c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes	72c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked No	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2738…6412backed Yes	59c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	61cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7cd…745bbacked No	29c	49.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.71per pick	29cpaid	+244.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e2…714ebacked No	36c	48.77$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.21	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes	57c	48.77$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.61	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6837…a488backed No	30c	48.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.85	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+96.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed No	41c	48.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.41	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No	23c	46.22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.38	109	54.1%59 W · 50 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Yes	71c	45.76$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.57	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+4.3wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f82…102ebacked Yes	64c	42.19$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.25per pick	59cpaid	-47%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16c2…b2a9backed Yes	64c	42.16$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?this page
Will Peru win on 2025-11-12?No won
Will Russia vs. Peru end in a draw?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event