Fifa International · resolved market
Will Peru win on 2025-11-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b97462eeb0b334d4286a3b2b82cc72d855d2ab5cde41cafec2d9990882930e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 1c | 3,013$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 6c | 1,775$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 1c | 1,466$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7b38backed Yes | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 999.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…8d1dbacked Yes | 7c | 650$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d81…5d42backed Yes | 11c | 435$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Yes | 10c | 394.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 15c | 312.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 11c | 185$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 11c | 184.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 16c | 159.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 14c | 142.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…fd64backed Yes | 10c | 129.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38f…1531backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…bdddbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7683backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 80c | 13.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Peru win on 2025-11-12?this page
- Will Russia vs. Peru end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.