Euroleague · resolved market
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1473ef4067a560d9aed7cd28cbd6ac1032a7550ec5b6968456ced54cafe5478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zalgiris Kaunasof Zalgiris Kaunas, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x511a…9745backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 1,952$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.91 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Valencia | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valencia | 38c | 878.62$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.63 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Valencia | 35c | 845.19$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.24 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 67c | 385.18$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Valencia | 38c | 234.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Valencia | 39c | 226.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Valencia | 38c | 188.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Valencia | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Valencia | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…f276backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Valencia | 42c | 73.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Valencia | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…2b90backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 65.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 49.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…8592backed Valencia | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Valencia | 40c | 35.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 31.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Valencia | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Valencia | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…b1a6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 63c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.