College Football · resolved market
Georgia State vs. Troy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f2835b5e341b5d068af66ac532d950b6d05e00e7d9cfd89c068d19882a89546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Troyof Georgia State, Troy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Troy | 79c | 31,646$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,645.57 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Georgia State | 21c | 30,543$6,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,414.04 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Georgia State | 17c | 14,013$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.67 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Georgia State | 16c | 10,233$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.7 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Georgia State | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Troy | 78c | 9,650$7,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Georgia State | 22c | 7,938$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.36 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia State | 17c | 5,582$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.33 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Georgia State | 16c | 4,455$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.75 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Troy | 78c | 3,273$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.76 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Georgia State | 22c | 2,404$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.81 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Georgia State | 21c | 1,800$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.15 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Georgia State | 22c | 1,413$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.86 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Troy | 79c | 1,400$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Troy | 80c | 956$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Georgia State | 34c | 925.11$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Georgia State | 22c | 906.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Georgia State | 21c | 837.38$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.83 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Troy | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Georgia State | 21c | 480.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Georgia State | 14c | 459.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Troy | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia State | 20c | 387.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Troy | 78c | 349.95$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Georgia State | 10c | 301.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Georgia State | 21c | 282.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…9ff6backed Troy | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Georgia State | 9c | 191.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Georgia State | 17c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Georgia State | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia State | 21c | 142.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Troy | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Georgia State | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Georgia State | 21c | 97.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Georgia State | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Georgia State | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Georgia State | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Georgia State | 20c | 81.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Georgia State | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked Troy | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…56abbacked Troy | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Troy | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Troy | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Troy | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…547dbacked Georgia State | 24c | 44.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…82b4backed Troy | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…4f64backed Troy | 73c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Troy | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Troy | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Troy | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Troy | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Troy | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Troy | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Troy | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Troy | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56a…6fa2backed Troy | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Troy | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Troy | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Troy | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…d771backed Troy | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0e…fd92backed Troy | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…3dcfbacked Troy | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 77cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…4f6cbacked Troy | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…e8efbacked Troy | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…7e72backed Troy | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc95…88c1backed Troy | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Troy | 77c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia State vs. Troythis page
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Troy (-10.5)Troy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.