College Football · resolved market
East Carolina vs. Florida Atlantic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b2df290031569617aa19c68d665e406477ecfa25b8bb4a9e6f31e1c36248228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolinaof East Carolina, Florida Atlantic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Florida Atlantic | 29c | 52,095$15,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,321.06 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked East Carolina | 70c | 39,000$27,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed East Carolina | 71c | 35,211$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,211.27 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Florida Atlantic | 30c | 31,714$9,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,514.07 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed East Carolina | 70c | 25,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Florida Atlantic | 30c | 11,903$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.09 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed East Carolina | 69c | 4,310$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.99 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Florida Atlantic | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Florida Atlantic | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.99 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Florida Atlantic | 29c | 1,632$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.16 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked East Carolina | 70c | 1,267$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.42 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Florida Atlantic | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Florida Atlantic | 30c | 1,106$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.61 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Florida Atlantic | 30c | 1,027$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Florida Atlantic | 29c | 1,021$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.13 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Florida Atlantic | 30c | 902.83$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.85 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Florida Atlantic | 14c | 595$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Florida Atlantic | 31c | 550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Florida Atlantic | 29c | 509.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.85 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked East Carolina | 69c | 404.54$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Florida Atlantic | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed East Carolina | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed East Carolina | 69c | 275$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 26 | 92.3%24 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Florida Atlantic | 22c | 270.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…c015backed Florida Atlantic | 31c | 203.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…67c3backed East Carolina | 70c | 201.43$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Florida Atlantic | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Florida Atlantic | 30c | 197.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Florida Atlantic | 30c | 173.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida Atlantic | 30c | 152.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed East Carolina | 78c | 151$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5301…db2cbacked Florida Atlantic | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…88d3backed East Carolina | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed East Carolina | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Florida Atlantic | 13c | 99.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…620abacked East Carolina | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Florida Atlantic | 30c | 66.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed East Carolina | 69c | 59.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Florida Atlantic | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…39f0backed East Carolina | 71c | 44.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed East Carolina | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked East Carolina | 71c | 41.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed East Carolina | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Florida Atlantic | 30c | 34.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked East Carolina | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…e34dbacked East Carolina | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed East Carolina | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked East Carolina | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked East Carolina | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed East Carolina | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…bdcdbacked East Carolina | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…e2dbbacked East Carolina | 70c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…4592backed East Carolina | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dc…22d7backed East Carolina | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…3444backed East Carolina | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…9cdfbacked East Carolina | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- East Carolina vs. Florida Atlanticthis page
- East Carolina vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 66.5Under won
- East Carolina vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 67.5Under won
- Spread: East Carolina (-6.5)East Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.