TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x057a…3bacbacked No28c7,488$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.0710752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No33c7,450$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.54551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes67c6,437$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.8813050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No14c6,053$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.781,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No13c3,474$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.691,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No34c2,989$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.9123151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes73c2,067$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.9835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4659140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes68c1,470$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.44252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No13c1,382$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.38242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes68c1,171$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1423153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes66c1,133$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.21656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No33c1,125$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.626842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No33c996.25$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.1721560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No32c767.94$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.742441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes67c746.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.311181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No5c705$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.124642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes66c705$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.7133938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes65c695.34$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.3711355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes67c590.68$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.981580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56da…fca2backed Yes68c489.71$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No34c465$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.12227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x221a…3c8fbacked Yes67c461.63$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No7c420$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.420232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes67c380.6$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.63857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No7c373.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.056854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes66c329.97$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.195060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes67c296.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e46…6b55backed Yes70c284.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes67c224.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.134346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No33c222$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.266836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes80c210$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Yes68c202.94$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.941855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No33c186$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.385736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes67c177.64$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.621266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes69c168.35$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes66c151.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.67560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes66c151.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.223969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes66c149.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes67c149.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.277556%42 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…d322backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No29c149.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9313016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce89…5c69backed Yes68c148.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4028…d998backed Yes67c140.12$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes67c139$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.873828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes66c134.85$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeac5…7960backed Yes67c116.42$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No33c108.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.967146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.96529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.553852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.241643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No32c83.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.563562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe286…6896backed Yes67c79.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Yes67c75.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…75f2backed Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x340d…1335backed Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.635156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No27c73.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.693348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes67c59.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.862060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7655…363abacked Yes68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.455446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb5…9846backed Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No34c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f82…0ffebacked Yes68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.855162.7%32 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No34c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.969954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No34c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9613655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd1…3f93backed Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes67c40.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.533348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Yes66c38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.921942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d6f…3d82backed Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c2…57d4backed Yes67c36.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe958…b5e9backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66b…6e61backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c94…1f7dbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-70.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0a…3321backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85db…0d12backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2664…53f8backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.853562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8f…3186backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb91…f766backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb928…fa64backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439f…bdedbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9160…5bfebacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.