Euroleague · resolved market
Fenerbahce vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89700d3fbf8e3b446d98f8ca3c368433a8362a45d5344912ed2d527cd0e4f314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Fenerbahce, Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 18c | 2,705$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.41 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Fenerbahce | 72c | 2,626$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.07 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…31a8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 1,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Fenerbahce | 75c | 506.67$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 29c | 499.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8c | 330$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Fenerbahce | 73c | 253.42$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 213.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Fenerbahce | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 30c | 165$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 26c | 145$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Fenerbahce | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Fenerbahce | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Fenerbahce | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Fenerbahce | 75c | 138.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 19c | 134.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 110.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 107.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 31c | 102.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 29c | 97.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Fenerbahce | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Fenerbahce | 72c | 60.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…bf96backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 51.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…2b90backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Fenerbahce | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Fenerbahce | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Fenerbahce | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Fenerbahce | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Fenerbahce | 71c | 34.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Fenerbahce | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Fenerbahce | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…31a4backed Fenerbahce | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b7…30f6backed Fenerbahce | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fenerbahce | 73c | 30.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Fenerbahce | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Fenerbahce | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Fenerbahce | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Fenerbahce | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 49c | 25.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…07fabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Fenerbahce | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.