Euroleague · resolved market
Panathinaikos vs. Partizan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dcd88651820cccc0adfa5e311f9fe631ab473aaac8f9c1e9952e1a889724cd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Panathinaikos, Partizan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Partizan | 28c | 1,200$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Panathinaikos | 72c | 1,055$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.47 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Partizan | 21c | 1,000$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.64 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panathinaikos | 78c | 312.98$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Panathinaikos | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Panathinaikos | 76c | 214.94$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Partizan | 22c | 166.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Partizan | 22c | 141.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Partizan | 19c | 132.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panathinaikos | 80c | 87.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…ab23backed Panathinaikos | 79c | 55.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panathinaikos | 78c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Panathinaikos | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Panathinaikos | 79c | 41.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Partizan | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…9d52backed Panathinaikos | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Panathinaikos | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Panathinaikos | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Panathinaikos | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…c3c8backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Panathinaikos | 70c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.