TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No51c17,165$8,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,410.961650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c12,172$6,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,424.328,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…4b9dbacked Yes50c9,979$4,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.14922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c6,835$4,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.422,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked No53c5,856$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.01850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c5,481$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.3623435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes39c3,967$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.0963644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes2c2,833$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No69c2,794$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.2633251.8%172 W · 160 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes49c2,190$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.0919239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed No54c2,165$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.061471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe461…0bd9backed Yes16c2,115$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4560%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No53c1,764$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.88887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes10c1,757$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.711631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed No52c1,510$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes48c1,510$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes47c1,420$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.81520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes49c1,114$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5461540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes10c1,109$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.936727%99 W · 268 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.395133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No51c660$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.339853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes4c635.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4411738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes16c610.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf385…364cbacked Yes30c527.27$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c527.04$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.111,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes47c449.85$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.381,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed No52c378.85$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.852828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes48c376.81$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.879454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x831d…e1babacked Yes13c375.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481625%4 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes52c360.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.981651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No52c233.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9926659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed No51c210$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009545.3%43 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes12c199.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8445…832ebacked No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ece…50f0backed Yes14c133.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes16c122.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fa…6745backed No53c121.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes47c106.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67eb…2335backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes50c100.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013441%55 W · 79 L-14.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf87…a5a9backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea3…7078backed Yes54c94.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.764271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c94.09$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.061,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes44c85.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb79…91b5backed Yes45c79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.262050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Yes40c76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.312748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No51c69.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes45c68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62564%16 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+43%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2fd…49eebacked Yes49c67.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.111741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…e0cfbacked Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No47c52.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.712562.4%78 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc479…e938backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked No51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dea…26d5backed Yes51c47.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47e…655bbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ab…44dfbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes50c39.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8f…3186backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick64cpaid-62.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb91…f766backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-3.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7319…8911backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ba…12d4backed No53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a5…2fa8backed Yes50c35.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…4626backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7f…9f82backed Yes52c30.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2400…28cebacked Yes39c30.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No55c30.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.546056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa047…f4c5backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a28…7f61backed No55c22.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.