South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x010a7bace65dc7ca18c24e729565712cdc00a99c22694565ed6cb14fc3a3b4a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 5,897$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.98 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 5,495$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.83 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 5,260$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,783$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.05 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 35c | 1,534$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.2 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 41c | 1,170$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.83 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 42c | 956.06$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.07 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 922.66$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 78c | 880.62$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.74 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 787.75$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.3 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 77c | 774$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 76c | 543.55$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 5c | 384.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 370$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 77c | 352.2$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb773…7f73backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…0bd9backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 143.87$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked No | 42c | 142$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 24c | 112.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 76c | 93.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 24c | 82.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…ee79backed Yes | 52c | 48.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…6745backed Yes | 50c | 45.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…8c77backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…8384backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…fe7abacked No | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 45c | 22.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…47aabacked No | 78c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…c5f3backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 77c | 13.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-25?this page
- Will CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.