College Football · resolved market
Marshall vs. Georgia State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x418617f0783a35170880814987c66e87ec329f4a200a2cccad2ff2212c801f7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marshallof Marshall, Georgia State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Marshall | 74c | 33,802$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,802.4 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Georgia State | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Georgia State | 26c | 16,518$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,294.59 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Georgia State | 26c | 11,295$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.28 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marshall | 74c | 11,262$8,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.09 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Georgia State | 22c | 6,991$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.22 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Georgia State | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Georgia State | 25c | 3,756$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.03 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marshall | 72c | 2,509$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.6 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Georgia State | 26c | 2,190$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.13 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Marshall | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Georgia State | 1c | 1,900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Georgia State | 27c | 1,800$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.19 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Georgia State | 19c | 1,341$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.02 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marshall | 72c | 1,331$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.62 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marshall | 73c | 1,299$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.22 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marshall | 75c | 1,185$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.25 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…e95ebacked Marshall | 73c | 1,178$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…16e2backed Georgia State | 28c | 1,075$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Marshall | 75c | 1,015$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.75 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Georgia State | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Marshall | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Georgia State | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Georgia State | 8c | 969.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Marshall | 72c | 822.68$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.35 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…58afbacked Marshall | 73c | 704.11$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Georgia State | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia State | 8c | 670.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c74…76d8backed Georgia State | 28c | 642.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marshall | 73c | 621$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Marshall | 78c | 606.96$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgia State | 11c | 511.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marshall | 76c | 481.79$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marshall | 74c | 461$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Marshall | 73c | 429$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Georgia State | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d8d1backed Georgia State | 14c | 383.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Georgia State | 18c | 365.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Georgia State | 7c | 332.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Georgia State | 28c | 310.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Georgia State | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Georgia State | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Georgia State | 29c | 271$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Marshall | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…8437backed Georgia State | 28c | 220.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Georgia State | 27c | 214.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Marshall | 72c | 210.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…1b00backed Marshall | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Georgia State | 28c | 160$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Georgia State | 21c | 155.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Georgia State | 13c | 144.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Marshall | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Georgia State | 28c | 116$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Georgia State | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Georgia State | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Marshall | 67c | 89.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…9dabbacked Marshall | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Marshall | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Marshall | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Georgia State | 27c | 77.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Georgia State | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Marshall | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…f6b6backed Marshall | 73c | 61.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e8…0ecabacked Marshall | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab4…9895backed Georgia State | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Georgia State | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed Marshall | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…7f84backed Georgia State | 28c | 52.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…459fbacked Marshall | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…28b8backed Georgia State | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed Marshall | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e90…8339backed Georgia State | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8299…6d53backed Marshall | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Marshall | 73c | 32.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…3a50backed Marshall | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Marshall | 72c | 30.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…db10backed Marshall | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…7e84backed Marshall | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Marshall | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Marshall | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Marshall | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Marshall | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Marshall | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Marshall | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…8bf7backed Marshall | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a3e0backed Marshall | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab9…0800backed Marshall | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Marshall | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Marshall | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…0b71backed Marshall | 73c | 20.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…0d91backed Marshall | 73c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Marshall | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…918fbacked Marshall | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Marshall | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…ee02backed Marshall | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Marshall | 76c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Marshall | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marshall vs. Georgia Statethis page
- Marshall vs. Georgia State: 1H MoneylineMarshall won
- O/U 62.5Under won
- Spread: Marshall (-6.5)Marshall won
- Spread: Marshall (-7.5)Marshall won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.