TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x887f…db10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT4856.3%27 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40.6
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$34.99
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Hornetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.5wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-70.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Lightningbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Devils vs. Lightningbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+57.5%+$23
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Marshall vs. Georgia Statebacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+248.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$29.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+36.1%+$7.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.