Euroleague · resolved market
Virtus Bologna vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a943f3927a9de9e419d66889f1c37867d4e48d8a1b8028ef2c8798e8d227d5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus Bolognaof Virtus Bologna, Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7620…d9f0backed Virtus Bologna | 73c | 1,371$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 39c | 1,296$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 15c | 886.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 29c | 828.15$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 37c | 821.89$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.27 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus Bologna | 74c | 699.13$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virtus Bologna | 63c | 565$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Virtus Bologna | 66c | 448.34$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.34 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 33c | 430.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…fdedbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 18c | 281.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 36c | 233.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…637dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 16c | 184.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 36c | 161.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Virtus Bologna | 66c | 160.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Virtus Bologna | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virtus Bologna | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Virtus Bologna | 64c | 78.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Virtus Bologna | 67c | 74.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…2421backed Virtus Bologna | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Virtus Bologna | 67c | 58.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Virtus Bologna | 63c | 49.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Virtus Bologna | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Virtus Bologna | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Virtus Bologna | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Virtus Bologna | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 36c | 39.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Virtus Bologna | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Virtus Bologna | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Virtus Bologna | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Virtus Bologna | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Virtus Bologna | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Virtus Bologna | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…f276backed Virtus Bologna | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virtus Bologna | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Virtus Bologna | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Virtus Bologna | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.