Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Virtus Bologna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bd4862b77530eb72af2729b51860890e70fb8e9a8f6880781b9d10f6e43cafe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, Virtus Bologna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Virtus Bologna | 25c | 1,399$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.64 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Barcelona | 67c | 1,360$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.84 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…9c6fbacked Barcelona | 79c | 896.6$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus Bologna | 34c | 891.5$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.86 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virtus Bologna | 25c | 505$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Virtus Bologna | 26c | 425.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virtus Bologna | 22c | 291.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virtus Bologna | 23c | 264.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Barcelona | 79c | 257.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus Bologna | 23c | 252.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Barcelona | 77c | 245$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Barcelona | 37c | 190$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Virtus Bologna | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Virtus Bologna | 26c | 144.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Barcelona | 75c | 134.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Barcelona | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Barcelona | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Barcelona | 78c | 128.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Barcelona | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Barcelona | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Barcelona | 77c | 101.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Virtus Bologna | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Barcelona | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Barcelona | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Barcelona | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Barcelona | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Barcelona | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Barcelona | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…2d7ebacked Barcelona | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Barcelona | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Barcelona | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Barcelona | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Barcelona | 76c | 23.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Barcelona | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…3ad1backed Barcelona | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Barcelona | 73c | 14.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.