Ukraine · resolved market
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf42db365ec5919511d99a5a38574ea6397e0ea38550104ce440b97e796576a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $593,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 15c | 61,201$9,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,288.17 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1d…f862backed No | 7c | 33,000$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…7482backed No | 17c | 31,545$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,462.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 15c | 23,367$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 9c | 19,381$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.6 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 9c | 13,472$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.79 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…42e2backed No | 9c | 11,258$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed No | 10c | 10,620$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 11c | 9,163$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…56d0backed No | 9c | 8,174$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 14c | 6,749$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.51 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…0bd8backed No | 20c | 6,025$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…a50fbacked No | 8c | 5,895$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 10c | 4,221$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.17 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…f14bbacked No | 15c | 3,825$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +87%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 12c | 3,622$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.53 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 7c | 3,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 4c | 3,081$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked No | 16c | 3,015$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.29 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked No | 6c | 3,001$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…69ecbacked No | 14c | 2,701$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed No | 18c | 2,008$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.98 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 79c | 1,860$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…5666backed No | 9c | 1,639$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdf…6b49backed No | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 1,433$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 79c | 1,399$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…a388backed No | 17c | 1,387$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd704…cf56backed No | 17c | 1,375$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 3c | 1,350$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…58b0backed No | 7c | 1,338$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 1,330$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed No | 7c | 1,250$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 6c | 1,250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 13c | 1,234$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 19c | 1,155$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 2c | 1,128$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509a…8a43backed No | 13c | 1,112$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 5c | 1,009$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…216bbacked No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 14c | 1,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…8d43backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a1…34f0backed No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcd…40f7backed No | 10c | 953.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 3c | 944.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 2c | 800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked No | 16c | 793.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…c499backed No | 7c | 776.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…565fbacked Yes | 77c | 775.17$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…a9d3backed No | 16c | 770$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 23c | 762.33$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…059bbacked No | 11c | 761.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…af19backed No | 15c | 747.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…2fbdbacked No | 13c | 734$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…7cd8backed No | 2c | 715$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 705.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 18c | 677.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.67 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde89…e378backed No | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…648dbacked Yes | 79c | 635.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 16c | 617.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548d…59b3backed No | 17c | 588.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 79c | 506.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…bfb3backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked No | 17c | 419.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 3c | 402.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…b838backed No | 13c | 402.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9144…a412backed Yes | 75c | 397.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed No | 25c | 396.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 77c | 395.1$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…15d9backed No | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…9211backed No | 7c | 340.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x181a…39d8backed No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 12c | 329$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…ce8cbacked No | 19c | 313.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…4c80backed No | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…fb1abacked Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd38…09a8backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…1297backed No | 8c | 296.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…0410backed No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…2a93backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 45c | 279.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 10c | 263.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…775ebacked No | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 15c | 252.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…4af5backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa25…54b2backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…0d1bbacked No | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 21c | 245.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 24c | 241.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…a900backed No | 11c | 235$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed No | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…55c9backed No | 14c | 230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.