NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f69f827610123aa478f5e5c4aa497c709bee2d6dd0632eb64cb0847acea149f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Stars | 55c | 23,923$13,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,765.75 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d2…53d7backed Stars | 28c | 14,150$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,188 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31e…57aabacked Kraken | 72c | 14,150$10,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kraken | 45c | 10,233$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.73 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Kraken | 44c | 9,331$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.73 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken | 44c | 8,995$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.77 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken | 46c | 7,500$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Stars | 55c | 5,848$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.68 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken | 46c | 5,550$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.12 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…9ce3backed Stars | 56c | 5,468$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…0a1ebacked Kraken | 44c | 5,461$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kraken | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.97 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Stars | 54c | 4,333$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.33 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kraken | 45c | 4,304$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.8 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Kraken | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.18 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Stars | 54c | 3,300$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 54c | 3,000$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.97 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 45c | 2,835$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.57 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 56c | 2,437$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.79 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Kraken | 45c | 2,180$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars | 54c | 2,140$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.51 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Kraken | 46c | 2,137$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.02 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Kraken | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Stars | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Kraken | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Kraken | 44c | 1,923$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.8 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…a421backed Kraken | 45c | 1,900$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f92…983dbacked Stars | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 46c | 1,609$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.95 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Kraken | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 53c | 1,437$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.43 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Stars | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 42c | 1,294$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.87 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Stars | 55c | 1,287$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.3 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 55c | 1,245$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.25 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kraken | 5c | 1,180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kraken | 12c | 1,175$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Kraken | 40c | 1,049$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.11 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Stars | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Stars | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stars | 54c | 911.06$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.09 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 44c | 881.06$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.67 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kraken | 15c | 800$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 45c | 788.67$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Stars | 54c | 729$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.34 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 52c | 721.18$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.57 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 45c | 646$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.88 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Kraken | 34c | 620.37$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Stars | 56c | 605.01$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.17 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Kraken | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Stars | 69c | 582.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Stars | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e18…82f8backed Stars | 56c | 554.37$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…4603backed Kraken | 44c | 546.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 20c | 517.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Stars | 54c | 506.62$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.05 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 45c | 500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Kraken | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Stars | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ec…f569backed Kraken | 44c | 491.13$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…fd51backed Stars | 56c | 483.24$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…90f6backed Stars | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kraken | 12c | 460$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kraken | 5c | 440$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 46c | 423.9$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.23 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stars | 69c | 422.55$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stars | 55c | 419.87$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 55c | 403.05$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2c…a948backed Stars | 79c | 400$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kraken | 45c | 388.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 66c | 352.29$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Stars | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Stars | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kraken | 26c | 286.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Stars | 55c | 271.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…99c4backed Stars | 55c | 259.78$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kraken | 45c | 239.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Stars | 55c | 224$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Stars | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Kraken | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Stars | 55c | 216.36$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kraken | 45c | 214.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kraken | 47c | 207.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Kraken | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Stars | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kraken | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…ec14backed Kraken | 44c | 193.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Stars | 57c | 192.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Stars | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 44c | 178.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Kraken | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Stars | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kraken | 45c | 174$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb6…38babacked Kraken | 48c | 168.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kraken | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Krakenthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Kraken won
- Stars vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.