NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7a1b21a5cdd2eb10014ffd0b0e0fd258c088e59b3b900652a2aa33ba6b22c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Senators, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $704,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $718,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $704,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Senators | 46c | 270,445$125,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Senators | 46c | 200,000$92,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,000 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Stars | 54c | 149,905$80,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,956.08 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 54c | 144,941$78,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,069.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Stars | 54c | 75,888$40,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,188.15 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Senators | 42c | 23,894$10,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,035.34 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 53c | 23,694$12,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,136.18 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Senators | 44c | 17,325$7,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,666.69 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Stars | 54c | 15,555$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,155.3 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 56c | 13,000$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,729.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 58c | 11,025$6,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.01 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…af75backed Senators | 9c | 11,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Stars | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.97 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 43c | 8,995$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,867.85 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 67c | 7,444$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.13 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 56c | 6,495$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.57 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 54c | 5,383$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 47c | 5,087$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.87 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stars | 54c | 4,444$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.24 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Stars | 77c | 4,111$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.79 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 58c | 4,103$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.42 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Stars | 58c | 4,034$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.28 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 65c | 3,930$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.75 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars | 57c | 3,700$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stars | 55c | 3,529$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.05 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Stars | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Stars | 59c | 3,356$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.93 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 57c | 3,332$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.95 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Senators | 44c | 3,050$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.71 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Senators | 42c | 2,803$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.17 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Stars | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Senators | 44c | 2,569$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.02 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Senators | 43c | 2,454$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.19 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Senators | 42c | 2,340$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.78 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Stars | 57c | 2,105$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.26 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Stars | 55c | 2,080$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.16 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 54c | 2,013$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.01 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Stars | 58c | 1,945$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.89 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Senators | 43c | 1,665$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.95 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators | 42c | 1,585$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.55 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Stars | 54c | 1,527$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.29 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Senators | 42c | 1,524$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.05 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Stars | 54c | 1,480$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.8 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Senators | 45c | 1,464$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.05 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Stars | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 1c | 1,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a3f8backed Senators | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stars | 58c | 1,295$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.83 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Senators | 42c | 1,115$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.43 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Senators | 42c | 1,103$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.11 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…a9d3backed Senators | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 6c | 1,073$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Stars | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Senators | 44c | 999.97$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators | 43c | 994.99$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.84 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Stars | 54c | 991.27$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.98 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 38c | 960.46$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.66 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7a…2582backed Stars | 58c | 948.28$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…76fcbacked Senators | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Stars | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Senators | 30c | 907.11$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.95 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Stars | 55c | 902.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.14 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 58c | 902$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.84 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Senators | 46c | 880.28$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…714dbacked Stars | 57c | 840$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…41ecbacked Stars | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed Stars | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 74c | 797$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.11 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…c388backed Senators | 44c | 760$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Senators | 43c | 753$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.51 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Stars | 54c | 750$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…1fe9backed Senators | 44c | 740$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Stars | 56c | 715.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.01 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…eecdbacked Senators | 44c | 710$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 59c | 662.64$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Senators | 43c | 628$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…16cebacked Stars | 74c | 587.84$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…0aa3backed Stars | 57c | 570$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Senators | 29c | 561$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Stars | 57c | 550$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Senators | 44c | 537.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Stars | 57c | 529.98$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Stars | 54c | 512.79$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Senators | 43c | 503$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.78 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Stars | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Stars | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Senators | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Senators | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Stars | 54c | 497.46$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.46 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Stars | 58c | 417.24$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Senators | 43c | 416.78$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Senators | 43c | 402$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Stars | 56c | 400$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Senators | 43c | 399.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Starsthis page
- Senators vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.