Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5d1e064b9ef5b1c58038eaeca3e258dfdb65915d2e578a8214ff4efa2bf33d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 35,562$16,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,222.13 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 54c | 18,277$9,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,869.34 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 5,903$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.73 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Over | 54c | 1,728$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Over | 59c | 1,707$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 44c | 1,337$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.55 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 54c | 1,287$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.98 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 1,276$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.3 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Over | 57c | 1,194$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Under | 44c | 1,019$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 54c | 928.08$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.06 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 851.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 11c | 728.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 636.53$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.17 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 41c | 582.2$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 55c | 558.49$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.12 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 47c | 500$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.13 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Under | 44c | 454.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Over | 54c | 355.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 54c | 259.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…4ed5backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Under | 46c | 225$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 207.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…c66cbacked Over | 57c | 199.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 59c | 197.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Over | 57c | 194$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 43c | 165$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 25c | 159.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Over | 57c | 155.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed Over | 54c | 128.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 55c | 112.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Over | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 58c | 86.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Over | 56c | 76.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…08f8backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Under | 52c | 54.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55a…d290backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Over | 54c | 48.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Over | 54c | 47.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…a04dbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 42c | 45.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Over | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…1cafbacked Over | 56c | 28.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…2796backed Over | 44c | 27.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Under | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…dd1dbacked Under | 45c | 25.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…d077backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 46c | 24.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…9a2dbacked Over | 58c | 23.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Over | 56c | 20.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 54c | 18.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)SK Brann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.