La Liga · resolved market
Alaves vs. Celta Vigo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3e0084862b27acce1e7e451764f8b6486e3a8bdc8af382e1501fbd7ca3de2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,071$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.91 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 51c | 1,020$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.61 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 49c | 340.21$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.89 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 190.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 50c | 138.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 59.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked No | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…ca2ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed No | 51c | 30.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 51c | 23.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alaves vs. Celta Vigo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Alaves vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Alaves vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Alaves (-1.5)Celta Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.