TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Raptors, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,188,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,270,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,188,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Raptors36c377,661$137,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,752.878022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed 76ers63c123,983$78,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,390.2120253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c67…377ebacked Raptors35c109,693$38,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,804.531643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed 76ers76c74,980$57,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,778.5247448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked 76ers63c62,928$39,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,283.182867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers64c62,464$40,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,422.321,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed 76ers64c51,842$33,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,663.2224650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Raptors28c50,644$14,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,067.725646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed 76ers65c34,545$22,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,231.737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers63c31,975$20,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,701.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed 76ers65c30,661$19,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,795.7636148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed 76ers65c25,000$16,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,75038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed 76ers79c20,096$15,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,183.9748046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed 76ers64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Raptors37c18,000$6,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,651.998939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers65c17,217$11,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,001.022,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Raptors30c16,331$4,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,827.1919249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed 76ers65c15,385$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,384.6234062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed 76ers64c15,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Raptors13c14,744$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.0525925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked 76ers64c12,730$8,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,582.811558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors14c9,388$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.8681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Raptors39c9,103$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.4312334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed 76ers64c9,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Raptors29c8,008$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.1347144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed 76ers64c7,414$4,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.137739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors1c6,734$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.341,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers63c6,543$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.82,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed 76ers64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1607957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers65c5,671$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.4485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222c…4ab2backed 76ers66c5,098$3,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.162544%11 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked 76ers64c5,078$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.123148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked 76ers79c5,051$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.6512843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed 76ers64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Raptors35c5,000$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.9810041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked 76ers61c4,878$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.377050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Raptors28c4,650$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.075339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed 76ers73c4,639$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.221,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed 76ers64c4,500$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.1678445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raptors25c4,416$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.042,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb4…7124backed Raptors23c4,394$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9971952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked 76ers75c4,232$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.8426038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors42c4,169$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.4185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked 76ers74c4,086$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9129458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Raptors36c4,079$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.062,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Raptors35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked 76ers64c3,894$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.8871052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked 76ers59c3,800$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.9916446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed 76ers74c3,669$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.5727917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed 76ers64c3,438$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.513063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed 76ers65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9217250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed 76ers59c3,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.9976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors17c2,960$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.263,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers64c2,951$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors17c2,913$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.571,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers63c2,756$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.542,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers73c2,643$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x991e…f4abbacked 76ers48c2,402$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.351442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Raptors34c2,400$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Raptors38c2,378$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90050838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors33c2,230$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.861,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79f9…c3aabacked 76ers64c2,224$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Raptors36c2,100$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75619441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors37c2,050$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked 76ers52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96020034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Raptors35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003333.3%11 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Raptors22c1,947$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1313133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Raptors35c1,910$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.5324330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Raptors36c1,872$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Raptors30c1,832$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.2242640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked 76ers65c1,796$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.8569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked 76ers63c1,745$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.2573647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked 76ers65c1,726$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.099652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Raptors36c1,648$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.281,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Raptors17c1,607$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2320352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked 76ers64c1,590$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.2715945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad71…4c93backed 76ers64c1,560$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa08f…87f3backed Raptors36c1,560$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.6875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+96.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x236d…5e45backed 76ers65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.468458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed 76ers63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5559855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Raptors35c1,406$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49225554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Raptors14c1,390$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7113339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors41c1,390$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.865,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee05…812fbacked Raptors36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Raptors44c1,371$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.4331453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked 76ers64c1,360$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.6944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1fa…ae2ebacked 76ers64c1,300$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Raptors37c1,262$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46733735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed 76ers63c1,250$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46539958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Raptors35c1,250$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.516633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Raptors34c1,231$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2318349.2%90 W · 93 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6dc…8c92backed Raptors33c1,227$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed 76ers64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43243247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Raptors26c1,180$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2529037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Raptors36c1,096$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed 76ers64c1,092$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.61,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb800…e43abacked Raptors36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3764…e02abacked Raptors28c993.37$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2783043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Raptors34c950$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.