NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70f777750a562c472193b60c9f8bdd1a863cf68ca0597328b338fac95000d55e

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: 76ersof 76ers, Raptors
Resolved: Nov 9, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,956 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed 76ers	55c	15,000$8,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,750	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Raptors	45c	12,871$5,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,793.52	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors	48c	8,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed 76ers	52c	7,723$4,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,706.92	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers	53c	3,979$2,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,869.97	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors	45c	3,906$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,759.83	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Raptors	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors	47c	1,760$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.39	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Raptors	47c	1,068$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.96	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers	55c	1,024$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.8	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 76ers	54c	808.99$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.05	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers	54c	623.81$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.97	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Raptors	47c	372.89$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.26	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf4…d167backed 76ers	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked 76ers	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf57…6dffbacked 76ers	53c	184.91$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.91	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…8fe6backed Raptors	48c	184.67$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.64	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked 76ers	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	369	43.4%160 W · 209 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors	46c	179$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.34	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Raptors	47c	169.38$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Raptors	48c	109.84$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.34	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked 76ers	53c	107$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.29	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed 76ers	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Raptors	48c	95.36$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.14	801	48.3%387 W · 414 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69c4…09a3backed 76ers	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	102	50%51 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers	52c	92$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.16	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked 76ers	55c	91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	328	53%174 W · 154 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked 76ers	54c	75.93$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.93	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b8…68a5backed 76ers	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3543…c63fbacked Raptors	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-7.2wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-26%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors	46c	45.07$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.73	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed 76ers	54c	45.07$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.73	134	56.7%76 W · 58 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed 76ers	45c	26.25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.47	474	48.7%231 W · 243 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Raptors	56c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	146	54.8%80 W · 66 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04ee…be10backed 76ers	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	40cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: 76ers (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event