NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe94a87d60641eb01cd277ddd2e5d2a653ae63d83fff308fa155005536619a47a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 49c | 1,302$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.76 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 988.8$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 836.8$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 518$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Over | 52c | 505.77$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.77 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 338.42$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.21 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Over | 52c | 254.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9d…f4d7backed Over | 53c | 33.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…82aabacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5this page
- Raptors vs. 76ers76ers won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.