Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a26466d9a073089e2a1e70c21d1a87ae87915dfc7dbbd474fa711bf532064a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 51c | 25,000$12,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,258.77 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 49c | 19,986$9,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,792.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 5,519$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 39c | 1,590$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.59 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 48c | 1,162$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.59 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 78c | 970.8$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…38c3backed Yes | 43c | 818.19$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 47c | 625.16$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 21c | 535.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 49c | 410.53$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.16 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 49c | 260.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 73c | 246.89$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…67dabacked Yes | 54c | 189.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…a3b1backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 50c | 134.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed Yes | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…4cb8backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 24c | 85.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 41c | 61.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…9096backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…3bf5backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 49c | 49.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…e409backed Yes | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 54c | 37.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…609ebacked Yes | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 50c | 32.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f9…e1e2backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…fc5ebacked Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Suwon FC win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Suwon FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.