Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Suwon FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bd18f9149291efe8cb6cf65ae276239fcec2197d19382f432d59d8e3e32ad2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 1,208$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.44 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 35c | 688.31$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…0912backed Yes | 53c | 226.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…6438backed Yes | 26c | 216.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 52c | 202.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 48c | 191.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…3bf5backed Yes | 49c | 139.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 26c | 98.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 74c | 97.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Yes | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 76c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…609ebacked No | 78c | 21.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Suwon FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Suwon FC win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.