Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24222655eb0654a6422d3a84f43e4648a48b532a1f43f9aafa703f80b07bdfc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 11,269$5,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 51c | 6,772$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.84 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Over | 72c | 5,914$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.9 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Under | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.87 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 56c | 3,457$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 46c | 3,333$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.09 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Over | 46c | 3,263$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Under | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 54c | 1,386$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.99 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 1,353$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.95 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 44c | 1,158$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.01 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 46c | 1,084$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.65 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 1,008$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.21 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 45c | 999.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.92 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed Over | 51c | 978.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 54c | 835.14$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.98 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 46c | 799.86$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.92 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Over | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 38c | 625.51$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.51 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b7…00a0backed Over | 56c | 533.01$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 46c | 461.54$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 46c | 457.3$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.3 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 46c | 442.68$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.05 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 30c | 439.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.4 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Over | 46c | 433.26$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 58c | 393.17$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 52c | 286.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Under | 55c | 265.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 42c | 239.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 46c | 218.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 46c | 218.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 48c | 185.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Over | 46c | 175.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 58c | 157.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…5b5abacked Over | 28c | 145.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Under | 59c | 143.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Under | 55c | 138.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 57c | 131.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…0756backed Under | 56c | 120.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 39c | 108$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Under | 57c | 104.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked Under | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 44c | 89.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 46c | 86.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 86.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…4e1ebacked Under | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 50c | 79.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…43d7backed Over | 40c | 76.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 74.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 46c | 54.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1109…d2f0backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 45c | 53.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8c50backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 53c | 36.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…f66cbacked Under | 57c | 35.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…9e3dbacked Over | 53c | 33.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…1c25backed Over | 45c | 30.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed Over | 50c | 30.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Over | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Under | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…1767backed Under | 53c | 27.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aef…511cbacked Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…0be5backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…1109backed Under | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…e1febacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 19.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea42…cab7backed Over | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 72c | 16.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.