TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,486
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,486 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c11,269$5,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,214.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under51c6,772$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,421.8435758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Over72c5,914$4,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Under57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.8710148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under56c3,457$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9424252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Over46c3,333$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.0920039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Over46c3,263$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.043647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c69…c149backed Under56c1,429$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under54c1,386$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.9937036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under54c1,353$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.9549254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under44c1,158$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0125545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over46c1,084$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.658243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over51c1,008$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.2127955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5605345.3%24 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Over45c999.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.924748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fc…ee34backed Over51c978.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under54c835.14$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.9824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over46c799.86$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.929244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5244…23d9backed Over35c700$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4551070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over38c625.51$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.5115347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b7…00a0backed Over56c533.01$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over46c461.54$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.042748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over46c457.3$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.320054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over46c442.68$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0523926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over30c439.08$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.47737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.787642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Over46c433.26$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.962227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Over58c393.17$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1671566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over52c286.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4411142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Under55c265.55$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1477136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over42c239.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9810031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over45c230$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.513860.1%83 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Over46c218.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.742839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over46c218.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.372759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9921656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over48c185.62$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5223435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Over46c175.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.643060%18 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under58c157.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8425949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Under54c149.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7d…5b5abacked Over28c145.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.34875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+94.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7096…11c0backed Under59c143.17$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.772040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under55c138.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.454042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over57c131.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.082857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Under52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5718…0756backed Under56c120.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.119958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked Over39c108$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Under57c104.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c72…8b8bbacked Under55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551060%6 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Under56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Over44c89.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.398632.6%28 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over46c86.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.895451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c86.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.11,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc225…4e1ebacked Under40c82.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over50c79.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.848259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1af…43d7backed Over40c76.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.623655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under51c74.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1620150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409941.4%41 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5619259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ba81backed Over46c54.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.341850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015558.1%90 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1109…d2f0backed Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Over45c53.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3114643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd480…799ebacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308045%36 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d7…8b82backed Over26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.55339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5110252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2149…3a74backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+78.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x423d…c621backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.483756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcece…8c50backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over46c36.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.967640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over53c36.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1716045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…f66cbacked Under57c35.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c8…2f76backed Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.728362.7%52 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d3…9e3dbacked Over53c33.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+44.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x455c…1c25backed Over45c30.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…9c04backed Over50c30.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.026728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1519133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcec0…82ddbacked Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.621241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Over57c29.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.825525.5%14 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2791…2791backed Under50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1d…1767backed Under53c27.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.491471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aef…511cbacked Over48c27.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd510…0be5backed Under56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Over45c26.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6715949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb1…1109backed Under53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x103f…e1febacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c19.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea42…cab7backed Over67c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over72c16.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7125256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.