Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af63d0a63c07fc7e486f25e3b56df7ec36a11825d3d21bd16474c71d666543b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 2,577$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 1,358$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.03 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 34c | 964.9$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.75 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked No | 58c | 778.88$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.65 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 42c | 750$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.5 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 31c | 685$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 38c | 544.61$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.23 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 60c | 351$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed No | 61c | 327.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 33c | 317.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes | 45c | 269.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed Yes | 74c | 120.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 42c | 120.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 51c | 99.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 25c | 69.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 54c | 65.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes | 43c | 64.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Yes | 35c | 60.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…9e3dbacked Yes | 69c | 57.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…ac78backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 78c | 49.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed No | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…c06cbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…b7c3backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…0b14backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed No | 61c | 26.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8427…440dbacked No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d36…9155backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…3911backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.