Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82424bc9ac2a5b2fd1c5d70ec63b3e8043f10ed4dc42be9b59f2a2dbcb1ba87a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 54c | 2,810$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.7 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 56c | 2,622$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.13 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…5f7cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,525$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f807backed No | 71c | 1,522$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 557.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.59 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 440$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 56c | 434.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.22 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 280.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 252$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 60c | 226.05$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 199.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Yes | 11c | 170$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 166.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfa…b8f9backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 137.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed No | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…905abacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 71c | 65.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…6aeabacked Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…ce95backed Yes | 74c | 61.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 66c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d50…5302backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 29c | 37.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 74c | 20.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Lorient win on 2025-10-19?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.