Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee6142018111c63087d86d77f881f6b7b65a16cd051877843bcf4fa860a26f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.96 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 64c | 11,504$7,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.31 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 64c | 9,602$6,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 3,920$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.5 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 79c | 2,149$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.11 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,456$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.09 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,425$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.38 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…dbebbacked No | 67c | 1,421$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84d…9714backed Yes | 36c | 1,421$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,260$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.25 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 67c | 1,200$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 65c | 1,129$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.63 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 74c | 514.62$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 66c | 434$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 66c | 429.1$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.48 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 35c | 377.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 65c | 320.76$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 25c | 312.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 67c | 298.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 66c | 290$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae7…7ee5backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 64c | 262$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 30c | 260$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 66c | 229$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 65c | 220.09$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 191.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 180$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 172.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 76c | 172.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 69c | 147.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…905abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 65c | 92.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…30b1backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 42c | 59.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 34c | 49.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…3f9dbacked Yes | 72c | 47.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 44.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf356…3effbacked No | 38c | 39.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 66c | 32.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Lorient win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.