Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x067a6901a800f2c9845e1573e47e56c7c16dce5268ca67677c87a099c429ce7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 35c | 100,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 55,669$36,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,488.39 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 36c | 32,704$11,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,727.43 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 29,173$18,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,646.63 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 65c | 20,390$13,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 11,003$7,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.92 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 62c | 8,834$5,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.66 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 37c | 7,416$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.76 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 48c | 4,991$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.59 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 65c | 2,945$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.77 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed No | 65c | 2,307$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 65c | 1,603$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.05 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…472ebacked No | 64c | 1,592$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f167backed Yes | 36c | 1,590$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 65c | 1,306$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,200$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 10c | 1,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 36c | 666.01$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 38c | 600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 38c | 600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 594.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 38c | 450$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 65c | 427.37$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 387.62$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…b28fbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 65c | 298$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 276$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 66c | 265.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 65c | 171$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 166.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…a167backed Yes | 32c | 152$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 66c | 128.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…905abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 38c | 83.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 65c | 83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…06f8backed Yes | 36c | 57.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked No | 56c | 53.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…4011backed Yes | 36c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…6f16backed Yes | 45c | 43.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 37c | 34.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…9bc9backed No | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 46c | 24.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 24.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…e9efbacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lorient win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.