TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94da…e9ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$171.76
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$126.62
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$261.82
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,104.83
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.13
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$280.98
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.2
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$64.05
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.64
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$128.14
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$354.33
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$139.49
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$456
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.02
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.06
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$50.69
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89%+$29.67
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.3
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31.15
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$37.4
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$16.56
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.84
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.1
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+150%+$18.6
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$19.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$31.32
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.3
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.03
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.96
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Blue Jays vs. Rockiesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$4.8
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.42
Rockies vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$23.4
Canucks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$22.23
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25.01
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$16.77
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.65
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.08
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.26
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.14
Wild vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.26
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+116.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico State vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+26.6%+$5.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$41.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.