TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$415,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$458,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Rockies31c235,553$73,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,895.1812043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays69c59,547$41,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,459.5235952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays69c48,900$33,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,15922852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays68c28,163$19,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,012.3138751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Blue Jays66c23,280$15,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,923.771855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Blue Jays68c20,000$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,40011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rockies30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9653150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Blue Jays69c13,000$8,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,03012655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Blue Jays69c12,160$8,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,769.623545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays61c9,751$5,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,776.8236047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Blue Jays69c8,095$5,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.454443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays68c7,772$5,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.741,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays68c5,831$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.911,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rockies36c5,792$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.5254345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Blue Jays67c5,650$3,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.596258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays69c5,432$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.42,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Rockies33c5,111$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.635947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays67c5,036$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.1924154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Rockies20c4,897$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Blue Jays70c4,740$3,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockies31c4,250$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies23c3,953$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Blue Jays69c3,100$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96138949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Blue Jays68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9609843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies38c2,606$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.271,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays68c2,600$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83226453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies31c2,403$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies1c2,396$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.285053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies40c2,339$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.66,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays70c2,286$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.7180955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays69c2,150$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rockies31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rockies32c2,000$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.631,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies34c1,897$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.3643946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies33c1,834$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.929,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Blue Jays62c1,630$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.415942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Rockies31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0328042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies42c1,559$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.3341747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies34c1,517$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9243247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Blue Jays67c1,506$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.115749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ca…691fbacked Blue Jays70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Blue Jays70c1,414$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.075667.9%38 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Blue Jays67c1,304$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.4814453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Blue Jays68c1,300$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41614446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays68c1,272$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.791,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies40c1,113$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4481,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Blue Jays65c1,109$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.26749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays69c1,099$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6938249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rockies21c1,067$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.327213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies33c999.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies33c950.99$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.8324547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays67c904.61$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5222546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Blue Jays69c903$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9314654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfedb…e5a3backed Rockies4c867.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Rockies31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays69c800$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2481,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Blue Jays65c752.22$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.2825551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays67c714.93$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9321656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies33c709.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.31,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays64c700$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25234051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays67c645.13$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…2f6bbacked Rockies8c627.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies33c611.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9644443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Rockies33c499.94$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9812152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Blue Jays67c432.84$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.846243.5%27 W · 35 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Rockies7c392.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4119452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies33c381.78$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9951347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa8b…23d2backed Blue Jays69c381.16$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.163863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Blue Jays69c363$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5316651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbd…0f19backed Rockies31c357.75$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Blue Jays62c325.65$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.759645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Rockies31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays67c313.43$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Rockies32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rockies32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa3…99a2backed Blue Jays69c309.31$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rockies33c303$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9940548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Blue Jays67c302.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9911463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rockies34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10225416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.512,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rockies34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Rockies33c286.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.716347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays70c286$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.891749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ef…dfd1backed Blue Jays70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.715759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies38c285$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.345749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Rockies43c275.79$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.599550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Blue Jays65c270$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.72450%12 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies32c268.13$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.81,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays70c241$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.32,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays70c225.92$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x3b66…7554backed Blue Jays68c224.95$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.485459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Blue Jays69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6218148.6%88 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Blue Jays68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6430850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies28c199.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.784,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Blue Jays70c171.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.438052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.