NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a194a67a3f3d42137315b6b6d8317bbbeeae610dbe86e6a20b48260dfd4f879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Nuggets, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $375,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 44c | 18,416$8,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,087.86 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Knicks | 59c | 17,551$10,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,212.72 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Nuggets | 23c | 16,857$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.26 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…3af8backed Knicks | 59c | 13,769$8,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Knicks | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.9 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Nuggets | 4c | 8,450$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.04 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Nuggets | 1c | 8,400$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…4589backed Knicks | 60c | 8,131$4,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.31 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 42c | 5,652$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.26 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…902dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 5,580$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 41c | 4,198$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,428$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.93 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 40c | 3,151$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.88 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Nuggets | 32c | 3,136$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Nuggets | 44c | 3,037$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.35 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 32c | 2,892$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.54 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Knicks | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Nuggets | 42c | 2,800$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 2c | 2,655$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Nuggets | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,241$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.87 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Nuggets | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 40c | 2,000$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.57 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Knicks | 72c | 1,683$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.82 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Knicks | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.98 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,421$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.45 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Knicks | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.17 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Knicks | 57c | 1,307$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.68 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Nuggets | 42c | 1,298$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.29 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 38c | 1,274$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.06 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 40c | 1,183$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.22 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Nuggets | 6c | 1,150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Nuggets | 41c | 1,111$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.82 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Nuggets | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…4cd5backed Knicks | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…c841backed Nuggets | 35c | 1,078$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 41c | 1,010$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.1 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Knicks | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 59c | 981.66$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.48 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Nuggets | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 41c | 899.98$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.99 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 41c | 885.82$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.36 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Nuggets | 25c | 789.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nuggets | 42c | 734.4$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.78 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Knicks | 58c | 717.93$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.53 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Knicks | 58c | 701.94$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Knicks | 59c | 635$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.35 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nuggets | 41c | 599.95$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.98 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nuggets | 45c | 596.33$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.21 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 42c | 566.23$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.27 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nuggets | 11c | 552.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Nuggets | 39c | 547.21$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Knicks | 57c | 510.36$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Nuggets | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Nuggets | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…a2c1backed Knicks | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…4ae7backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Nuggets | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Nuggets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Nuggets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Knicks | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Knicks | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…6ca5backed Nuggets | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…6b7bbacked Knicks | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…8f94backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…5d99backed Knicks | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…560cbacked Nuggets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Knicks | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…eb5cbacked Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…ebb3backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…f8b6backed Nuggets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…e0b1backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…d6b4backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Nuggets | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…63d9backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…0982backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab8…7b58backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…fcbdbacked Nuggets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…888abacked Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…aff7backed Knicks | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…8767backed Nuggets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…9e5ebacked Nuggets | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…caaebacked Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…8a72backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…25dbbacked Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…2112backed Nuggets | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…2da4backed Nuggets | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83b…1cccbacked Nuggets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…18b2backed Nuggets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…5e8dbacked Nuggets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…6a20backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.