NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x513b451fa1e19fe9f928540cba54143a2e3a254f003b9f422cf4a34efeaea0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Canucks, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Canucks | 40c | 190,348$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,499.96 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 123,100$73,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canucks | 39c | 64,200$25,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,037.95 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 28,470$17,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,232.62 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 17,577$10,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,031.18 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 16,472$9,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,637.32 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 16,058$9,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,287.06 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canucks | 8c | 16,034$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.39 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…723fbacked Canucks | 7c | 14,457$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 13,406$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.23 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 12,212$7,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.47 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Canucks | 40c | 11,111$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.4 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Canucks | 39c | 11,000$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 10,111$6,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.46 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Canucks | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 8,417$5,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.52 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Canucks | 2c | 7,483$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canucks | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 6,634$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.1 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canucks | 39c | 6,500$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.96 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 5,280$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Canucks | 39c | 5,270$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.3 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canucks | 0c | 4,975$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Canucks | 40c | 3,722$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.8 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Canucks | 39c | 3,613$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.07 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 3,000$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.54 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canucks | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Canucks | 0c | 2,801$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Canucks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Canucks | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.87 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 2,400$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 2,248$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.57 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 2,000$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Canucks | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,841$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.94 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canucks | 40c | 1,809$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.28 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,797$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.64 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canucks | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Canucks | 40c | 1,484$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.44 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,468$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.86 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,436$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.76 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,381$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.4 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,270$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.49 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canucks | 5c | 1,254$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Canucks | 3c | 1,107$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Canucks | 6c | 1,047$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Canucks | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Canucks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Canucks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canucks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Canucks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canucks | 38c | 895.72$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.37 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 875$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Canucks | 2c | 814.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 117 | 13.7%16 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Canucks | 39c | 769.63$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.46 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 754.1$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.1 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Canucks | 40c | 730.53$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Canucks | 6c | 708$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…88d0backed Canucks | 41c | 624.39$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Canucks | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Canucks | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Canucks | 40c | 528.92$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Canucks | 2c | 520$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Canucks | 40c | 498.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.47 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 493.16$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.33 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canucks | 40c | 478.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 462.78$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.11 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 14c | 449.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Canucks | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 394$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Canucks | 39c | 375.86$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3f…c4c9backed Canucks | 28c | 359.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Canucks | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 347$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Canucks | 37c | 340.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 334$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Canucks | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Canucks | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canucks | 39c | 315$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 300.01$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Canucks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.