Cricket · resolved market
ICC WWC: India vs. New Zealand
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8991265f77ad8b886fcbc29efd25ec5ed5f6b2bd19b3f3d74059992960c5c7d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiaof India, New Zealand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked New Zealand | 5c | 2,062$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +273%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed India | 74c | 1,688$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfd…6858backed New Zealand | 28c | 1,342$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed India | 78c | 962.19$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…e101backed New Zealand | 18c | 550$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed New Zealand | 22c | 530$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed New Zealand | 12c | 520$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed India | 72c | 466.12$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed New Zealand | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked New Zealand | 7c | 383.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…e02dbacked New Zealand | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed New Zealand | 6c | 283$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked New Zealand | 10c | 263.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…ec34backed New Zealand | 14c | 230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked New Zealand | 12c | 206.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed New Zealand | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed New Zealand | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed New Zealand | 25c | 99.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed India | 69c | 26.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed India | 77c | 16.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.