Cricket · resolved market
Pakistan T20 Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Nov 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4d1060d936f531edfc7e4edbf019a6052c4e7ee39cdb455dadfda71d381998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pakistanof Pakistan, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed South Africa | 1c | 8,342$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed South Africa | 10c | 4,500$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked South Africa | 46c | 4,021$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.66 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pakistan | 62c | 3,705$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.61 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…e1bdbacked Pakistan | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…b4bdbacked Pakistan | 75c | 799.01$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.11 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pakistan | 74c | 674.57$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.13 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked South Africa | 4c | 666.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +273%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed South Africa | 41c | 533.9$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.9 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked South Africa | 11c | 406.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…c762backed South Africa | 5c | 389$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…1fb6backed South Africa | 35c | 379.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed South Africa | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…7bc2backed Pakistan | 61c | 269.13$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…4fcabacked South Africa | 46c | 253.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed South Africa | 47c | 202.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…e671backed South Africa | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Pakistan | 53c | 159.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…7b09backed South Africa | 48c | 141.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed South Africa | 12c | 129.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed South Africa | 45c | 112.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f4…631dbacked Pakistan | 77c | 111.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…c8bebacked South Africa | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Pakistan | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed South Africa | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaada…5e99backed South Africa | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed South Africa | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Pakistan | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 221 | 41.6%92 W · 129 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…638ebacked South Africa | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0da…2b81backed South Africa | 37c | 39.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf203…2cb2backed Pakistan | 57c | 36.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed South Africa | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…b013backed Pakistan | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed South Africa | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…ed94backed South Africa | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…7b2dbacked Pakistan | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.