Cricket · resolved market
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Nov 4)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9022c275e0535e0e9baecae9a709fd34f5959edc2fc84dede2bd15514ad71129
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pakistanof Pakistan, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Pakistan | 63c | 10,583$6,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.77 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked South Africa | 38c | 7,415$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.7 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed South Africa | 2c | 5,647$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Pakistan | 67c | 3,395$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.46 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed South Africa | 39c | 2,200$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed South Africa | 24c | 1,896$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.99 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…57a6backed South Africa | 38c | 1,600$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Pakistan | 68c | 1,304$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed South Africa | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…8f4ebacked South Africa | 22c | 909.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed South Africa | 37c | 849.95$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.66 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed South Africa | 30c | 818.85$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed South Africa | 38c | 750$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked South Africa | 15c | 538.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…db91backed South Africa | 6c | 496.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…d135backed Pakistan | 69c | 485.03$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…3878backed Pakistan | 47c | 450$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…3edebacked South Africa | 29c | 434.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed South Africa | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…e1bdbacked Pakistan | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked South Africa | 31c | 278.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…f82abacked South Africa | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…b013backed South Africa | 18c | 230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed South Africa | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…7bc2backed Pakistan | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0df…b6aabacked South Africa | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…fe9ebacked South Africa | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…ba46backed South Africa | 30c | 116.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…b7bcbacked Pakistan | 59c | 115.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…ebc9backed South Africa | 23c | 106.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…7b2dbacked Pakistan | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed Pakistan | 74c | 99.23$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Pakistan | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…8da6backed Pakistan | 67c | 80.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1312backed South Africa | 32c | 72.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked South Africa | 26c | 65.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…ed94backed South Africa | 42c | 65.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…367abacked Pakistan | 66c | 60.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…39a4backed Pakistan | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed South Africa | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf3…a968backed South Africa | 28c | 53.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed South Africa | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Pakistan | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…a838backed South Africa | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…dba9backed South Africa | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…c8bebacked Pakistan | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2477…4493backed Pakistan | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…2fadbacked Pakistan | 71c | 26.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Pakistan | 70c | 24.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…54ddbacked Pakistan | 77c | 22.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf0…73f1backed Pakistan | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7357…e3b2backed Pakistan | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.