TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7bf3…a968

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.76
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$6.49
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$46.85
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$15.94
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$5.6
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+426.3%+$85.26
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+525%+$105
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game Final)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)backed Paarl Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)backed MI Cape Town · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
SA20: Paarl Royals vs MI Cape Town (Game 1)backed MI Cape Town · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
SA20: Sunrisers Eastern Cape vs Paarl Royals (Game 1)backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Nov 4)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs South Africa (Game Final)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+90.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.