Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Paarl Royals vs MI Cape Town (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65eab6891a4d8963c4d8082496f06c9cccb6fe766e6f3865267700ba045f906d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paarl Royalsof Paarl Royals, MI Cape Town
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Paarl Royals | 61c | 3,645$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.72 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed MI Cape Town | 42c | 3,583$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.77 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed MI Cape Town | 34c | 3,198$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.2 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Paarl Royals | 61c | 2,844$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.22 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Paarl Royals | 33c | 2,555$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Paarl Royals | 42c | 1,524$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.18 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed MI Cape Town | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paarl Royals | 39c | 1,299$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed MI Cape Town | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Paarl Royals | 77c | 622.78$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked MI Cape Town | 54c | 619.46$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.68 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Paarl Royals | 40c | 528$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MI Cape Town | 65c | 454.85$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed MI Cape Town | 40c | 409.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed MI Cape Town | 52c | 406.89$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.61 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Paarl Royals | 33c | 401.01$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.01 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked MI Cape Town | 37c | 400.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed MI Cape Town | 64c | 383.67$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed MI Cape Town | 38c | 371.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c41ebacked MI Cape Town | 31c | 364.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Paarl Royals | 66c | 338.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Paarl Royals | 55c | 324.56$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…bdefbacked MI Cape Town | 78c | 309.67$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed MI Cape Town | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed MI Cape Town | 39c | 290$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…bac8backed MI Cape Town | 41c | 240.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Paarl Royals | 34c | 219.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed MI Cape Town | 39c | 208.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MI Cape Town | 25c | 200.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked MI Cape Town | 26c | 186.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked MI Cape Town | 45c | 185.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MI Cape Town | 18c | 185.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MI Cape Town | 63c | 184.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Paarl Royals | 63c | 177.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Paarl Royals | 47c | 168.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Paarl Royals | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Paarl Royals | 40c | 124.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed MI Cape Town | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1312backed MI Cape Town | 40c | 100.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…9bd0backed Paarl Royals | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf3…a968backed MI Cape Town | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed MI Cape Town | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed MI Cape Town | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…1ef4backed Paarl Royals | 78c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Paarl Royals | 48c | 78.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Paarl Royals | 64c | 75.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed MI Cape Town | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…1dd4backed MI Cape Town | 37c | 71.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…1e62backed MI Cape Town | 42c | 71.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed MI Cape Town | 42c | 61.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…cf2ebacked Paarl Royals | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd407…0e41backed MI Cape Town | 47c | 58.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed MI Cape Town | 38c | 52.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed MI Cape Town | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…3cc7backed MI Cape Town | 56c | 48.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6f…803ebacked MI Cape Town | 35c | 41.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed MI Cape Town | 55c | 40.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…c7acbacked MI Cape Town | 67c | 40.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Paarl Royals | 58c | 40.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Paarl Royals | 34c | 39.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Paarl Royals | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Paarl Royals | 40c | 36.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed Paarl Royals | 38c | 31.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed MI Cape Town | 65c | 30.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Paarl Royals | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed MI Cape Town | 38c | 28.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed MI Cape Town | 62c | 25.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…7f53backed MI Cape Town | 78c | 20.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked MI Cape Town | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.