Cricket · resolved market
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc440ea88222645f4fbec90106f74eed6ec35743643cf8d18264444986b3b7a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MI Cape Townof MI Cape Town, Joburg Super Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked MI Cape Town | 57c | 3,489$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.64 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Joburg Super Kings | 38c | 2,639$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.36 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…e990backed MI Cape Town | 10c | 1,700$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +287%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Joburg Super Kings | 51c | 1,297$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.78 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Joburg Super Kings | 44c | 1,200$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed MI Cape Town | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Joburg Super Kings | 40c | 763.91$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.92 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked Joburg Super Kings | 43c | 638.89$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Joburg Super Kings | 45c | 607.68$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.72 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Joburg Super Kings | 46c | 552.19$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.21 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked MI Cape Town | 56c | 476.43$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.43 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Joburg Super Kings | 46c | 454.92$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Joburg Super Kings | 42c | 443.7$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Joburg Super Kings | 45c | 410.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed MI Cape Town | 76c | 394.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed MI Cape Town | 56c | 382.49$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Joburg Super Kings | 5c | 322.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Joburg Super Kings | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked MI Cape Town | 58c | 236.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked MI Cape Town | 62c | 233.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Joburg Super Kings | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Joburg Super Kings | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed MI Cape Town | 45c | 190$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed MI Cape Town | 55c | 181.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed MI Cape Town | 58c | 173.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MI Cape Town | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Joburg Super Kings | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked MI Cape Town | 59c | 122.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Joburg Super Kings | 42c | 119.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Joburg Super Kings | 27c | 110.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Joburg Super Kings | 40c | 109$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed MI Cape Town | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Joburg Super Kings | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed MI Cape Town | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed MI Cape Town | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Joburg Super Kings | 46c | 84.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Joburg Super Kings | 17c | 80.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 103 | 16.5%17 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Joburg Super Kings | 32c | 73.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Joburg Super Kings | 36c | 67.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…3cd2backed MI Cape Town | 55c | 56.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Joburg Super Kings | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked MI Cape Town | 56c | 44.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed MI Cape Town | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…cd78backed MI Cape Town | 50c | 40.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Joburg Super Kings | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…ba85backed Joburg Super Kings | 40c | 31.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…a6f6backed Joburg Super Kings | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ba41backed Joburg Super Kings | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…6c62backed Joburg Super Kings | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Joburg Super Kings | 36c | 28.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Joburg Super Kings | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf3…a968backed MI Cape Town | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed MI Cape Town | 50c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed MI Cape Town | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed MI Cape Town | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed MI Cape Town | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed MI Cape Town | 63c | 16.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.