TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0df…b6aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+192.7%+$19.75
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$36.17
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.05
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+499.5%+$104.15
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Game 4)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$121.6
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Nov 4)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Nov 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$72.6
ICC WWC: Australia vs. Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$47.7
SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forestbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$33.25
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.