TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forest

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wake Forestof SMU Mustangs, Wake Forest
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$457,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$460,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3657…6b14backed SMU Mustangs63c132,947$83,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,2802958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed SMU Mustangs62c62,020$38,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,452.3712549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Wake Forest38c40,139$15,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,801.6385947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Wake Forest38c38,501$14,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,870.7175651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Wake Forest37c31,324$11,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,771.5334250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Wake Forest38c30,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,599.9711846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked SMU Mustangs64c18,266$11,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,649.3881847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Wake Forest35c15,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,7507545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Wake Forest37c15,000$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,449.987944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wake Forest37c13,908$5,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,761.9493548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed SMU Mustangs61c7,816$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.4332745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked SMU Mustangs65c7,395$4,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,806.5630949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wake Forest37c7,000$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,429.9952641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked SMU Mustangs66c6,665$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3993145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Wake Forest35c6,657$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,327.142147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wake Forest43c5,885$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.7640541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wake Forest43c5,690$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.6162843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Wake Forest37c5,500$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,46511248.2%54 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Wake Forest39c5,292$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.1222750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed SMU Mustangs65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.693053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked SMU Mustangs43c4,674$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.0768440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Wake Forest37c4,473$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.0220450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wake Forest36c4,400$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,81725629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Wake Forest36c4,369$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.336832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Wake Forest36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56011653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Wake Forest39c3,500$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.9938546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wake Forest35c2,883$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.9529249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed SMU Mustangs59c2,845$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.0255350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed SMU Mustangs52c2,818$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.8986243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wake Forest37c2,780$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.1263243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Wake Forest41c2,500$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.5317837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wake Forest42c2,250$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3055653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Wake Forest37c2,127$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.0114743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Wake Forest38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2402245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Wake Forest50c1,987$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.211560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed SMU Mustangs59c1,953$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.5364841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ac…317ebacked Wake Forest36c1,747$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wake Forest38c1,713$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.6449253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed SMU Mustangs61c1,449$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Wake Forest38c1,200$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74447131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed SMU Mustangs52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52012746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Wake Forest37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63016945.6%77 W · 92 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Wake Forest37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6305856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wake Forest37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Wake Forest37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6306465.6%42 W · 22 L+14.8wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+58.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wake Forest37c877$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.5117361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Wake Forest36c807.88$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.116434.4%22 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked SMU Mustangs62c768.52$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.882,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wake Forest38c657.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9550358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Wake Forest37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37811436%41 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Wake Forest37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37817954.2%97 W · 82 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked SMU Mustangs59c577.4$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.211258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked SMU Mustangs53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Wake Forest37c542.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.4312042.5%51 W · 69 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbccf…5f55backed SMU Mustangs60c530$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3181136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Wake Forest22c526.3$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.0426750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked SMU Mustangs61c499.97$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9810848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe275…cf04backed SMU Mustangs62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x144f…a1fdbacked Wake Forest39c483$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Wake Forest36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.673658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wake Forest37c396.97$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.954243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4794…d6e5backed SMU Mustangs58c363.79$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed SMU Mustangs55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005251.9%27 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Wake Forest35c359.49$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed SMU Mustangs66c356$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9629351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed SMU Mustangs64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a9…a074backed Wake Forest39c310$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.11471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Wake Forest38c300$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.517634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Wake Forest37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Wake Forest37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1894961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Wake Forest38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18610246.1%47 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Wake Forest37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18914355.2%79 W · 64 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55da…3af7backed Wake Forest36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+121%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed Wake Forest37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1893762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x825d…5082backed SMU Mustangs64c264.06$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe4…6032backed Wake Forest38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Wake Forest37c262$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0611844.1%52 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c0…be99backed SMU Mustangs62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ebf…a9d3backed Wake Forest39c220$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf32…aecbbacked SMU Mustangs44c215.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Wake Forest56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.292548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Wake Forest54c208$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6827648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed SMU Mustangs44c202.86$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.949341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed SMU Mustangs56c200$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1139142.9%39 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Wake Forest37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1267041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Wake Forest37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12628032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Wake Forest38c193$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6620757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a2…294ebacked SMU Mustangs60c184.9$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2949…e101backed SMU Mustangs56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f8…c69ebacked SMU Mustangs15c179.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked SMU Mustangs62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5b…0cfcbacked SMU Mustangs66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f55…535dbacked Wake Forest37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.144153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed SMU Mustangs63c135$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.051850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Wake Forest37c132.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.287846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked SMU Mustangs67c129.81$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.426861.8%42 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Wake Forest38c127$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7421629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Wake Forest38c119.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4334529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked SMU Mustangs80c112.91$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.337664.5%49 W · 27 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wake Forest20c104.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.757144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.