College Football · resolved market
SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forest
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31c222f353f563e6bbe4384ce3b063ed4b4ce82343bf912ea5a888ced8e2ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forestof SMU Mustangs, Wake Forest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed SMU Mustangs | 63c | 132,947$83,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,280 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed SMU Mustangs | 62c | 62,020$38,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,452.37 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wake Forest | 38c | 40,139$15,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,801.63 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Wake Forest | 38c | 38,501$14,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,870.71 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Wake Forest | 37c | 31,324$11,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,771.53 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Wake Forest | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,599.97 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked SMU Mustangs | 64c | 18,266$11,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,649.38 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Wake Forest | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Wake Forest | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,449.98 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wake Forest | 37c | 13,908$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,761.94 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed SMU Mustangs | 61c | 7,816$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.43 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked SMU Mustangs | 65c | 7,395$4,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.56 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wake Forest | 37c | 7,000$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.99 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked SMU Mustangs | 66c | 6,665$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Wake Forest | 35c | 6,657$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wake Forest | 43c | 5,885$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.76 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wake Forest | 43c | 5,690$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.61 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Wake Forest | 37c | 5,500$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wake Forest | 39c | 5,292$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.12 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed SMU Mustangs | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked SMU Mustangs | 43c | 4,674$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.07 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wake Forest | 37c | 4,473$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.02 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wake Forest | 36c | 4,400$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Wake Forest | 36c | 4,369$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.33 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Wake Forest | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Wake Forest | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.99 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wake Forest | 35c | 2,883$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.95 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed SMU Mustangs | 59c | 2,845$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.02 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 2,818$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.89 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wake Forest | 37c | 2,780$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.12 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Wake Forest | 41c | 2,500$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.53 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wake Forest | 42c | 2,250$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wake Forest | 37c | 2,127$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.01 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Wake Forest | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Wake Forest | 50c | 1,987$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed SMU Mustangs | 59c | 1,953$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.53 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…317ebacked Wake Forest | 36c | 1,747$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wake Forest | 38c | 1,713$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.64 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed SMU Mustangs | 61c | 1,449$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Wake Forest | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Wake Forest | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Wake Forest | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wake Forest | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Wake Forest | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wake Forest | 37c | 877$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.51 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Wake Forest | 36c | 807.88$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.11 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked SMU Mustangs | 62c | 768.52$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.88 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wake Forest | 38c | 657.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.95 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Wake Forest | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Wake Forest | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked SMU Mustangs | 59c | 577.4$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked SMU Mustangs | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Wake Forest | 37c | 542.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.43 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…5f55backed SMU Mustangs | 60c | 530$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Wake Forest | 22c | 526.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.04 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked SMU Mustangs | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…cf04backed SMU Mustangs | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…a1fdbacked Wake Forest | 39c | 483$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Wake Forest | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wake Forest | 37c | 396.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.9 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed SMU Mustangs | 58c | 363.79$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed SMU Mustangs | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Wake Forest | 35c | 359.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed SMU Mustangs | 66c | 356$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed Wake Forest | 39c | 310$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Wake Forest | 38c | 300$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Wake Forest | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Wake Forest | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Wake Forest | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Wake Forest | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…3af7backed Wake Forest | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +121%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Wake Forest | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…5082backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 264.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…6032backed Wake Forest | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Wake Forest | 37c | 262$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed SMU Mustangs | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…a9d3backed Wake Forest | 39c | 220$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked SMU Mustangs | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Wake Forest | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Wake Forest | 54c | 208$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 202.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Wake Forest | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wake Forest | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Wake Forest | 38c | 193$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a2…294ebacked SMU Mustangs | 60c | 184.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…e101backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…c69ebacked SMU Mustangs | 15c | 179.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked SMU Mustangs | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5b…0cfcbacked SMU Mustangs | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Wake Forest | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed SMU Mustangs | 63c | 135$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Wake Forest | 37c | 132.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked SMU Mustangs | 67c | 129.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Wake Forest | 38c | 127$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Wake Forest | 38c | 119.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked SMU Mustangs | 80c | 112.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wake Forest | 20c | 104.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forestthis page
- O/U 53.5Under won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-3.5)Wake Forest won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-4.5)Wake Forest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.