Cricket · resolved market
Pakistan T20 Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Oct 31)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e0bed7976a3892efc2c22a4fc58218605a57ee3cc3f06b709db19652acebf67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pakistanof Pakistan, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafb8…4822backed South Africa | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed South Africa | 10c | 8,638$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.42 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pakistan | 71c | 3,826$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.13 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed South Africa | 1c | 1,880$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…6d06backed South Africa | 7c | 1,212$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…dad9backed South Africa | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…57a6backed South Africa | 38c | 900$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Pakistan | 52c | 881.53$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6a…45d9backed South Africa | 3c | 633.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pakistan | 53c | 600.89$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.66 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…b4bdbacked Pakistan | 76c | 567.91$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed South Africa | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed South Africa | 50c | 401.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Pakistan | 50c | 400.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Pakistan | 52c | 400.2$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +273%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Pakistan | 64c | 240.1$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked South Africa | 5c | 238$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…4fcabacked South Africa | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Pakistan | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Pakistan | 51c | 149.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…d9d9backed Pakistan | 63c | 133.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…ed94backed South Africa | 29c | 111.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…e671backed South Africa | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed South Africa | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed South Africa | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Pakistan | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…3487backed South Africa | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed South Africa | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed South Africa | 28c | 73.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…7591backed South Africa | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…db91backed Pakistan | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Pakistan | 71c | 68.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…7bc2backed Pakistan | 55c | 64.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed South Africa | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…8da6backed South Africa | 49c | 55.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…f82abacked South Africa | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…638ebacked South Africa | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked South Africa | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0da…2b81backed South Africa | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed South Africa | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf36…32a7backed South Africa | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ff…eaefbacked South Africa | 53c | 21.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.