Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta vs. Como end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c2ed9512e9cb2c57f5041ed3f10d1d0dd3ce7b6811d8317b77e631974d6f5af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 28c | 4,208$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.71 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e4…2d33backed No | 72c | 1,917$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 72c | 1,650$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 1,074$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.28 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 1,039$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.08 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 29c | 917.24$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 67c | 784.5$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.71 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 749$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.18 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…1489backed Yes | 78c | 569.23$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 365.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 28c | 320.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…d383backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 36c | 183.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 66c | 140.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed No | 40c | 85.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 43c | 79.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 71c | 68.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…f769backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 71c | 20.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta vs. Como end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-04?No won
- Will Como win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.